It wasn't just a plane crash. It was a geopolitical message delivered
mid-air.
A private jet carrying the top brass of Libya's pro-Turkey military elite went
down near Ankara. All eight passengers died — including five high-ranking
officers. Hours earlier, Turkey had officially extended its military mandate in
Libya. And now — the entire delegation is gone. Coincidence? Mechanical
failure? Or a message wrapped in wreckage?
✈️ What happened — timeline
On the evening of December 23, a Dassault Falcon 50 jet (tail number 9H-DFJ) took off from Ankara's Esenboğa Airport, bound for Tripoli. Onboard: Libya's top military delegation, fresh from an official visit. Passengers included:
The jet took
off at 20:10 local time. At 20:33, the crew
reported electrical failure.
At 20:52, all contact was lost.
Wreckage was later found in the Haimana region,
70 km southwest of Ankara. No survivors.
💥 Two crashes, six weeks, one pattern?
If this were
an isolated case — fine, bad luck happens.
But this wasn't the first incident.
On November 11, a Turkish
Air Force C-130 military transport crashed in Georgia, near the
Azerbaijani border.
No distress signal. All 20 Turkish personnel on board died.
Two major
crashes. Both involving military operations.
Both tied to Turkey's foreign military presence.
And now, a second blow — directly targeting Turkey's influence in Libya.
🇹🇷 Why this is a nightmare for Ankara
Turkey's partnership with Tripoli is strategic.
The Libyan
Chief of Staff had just completed talks with Turkish generals and Defense
Minister Yaşar Güler, securing continued
cooperation on training, arms supplies, and troop
deployment.
Just one day before the crash, Turkey's
parliament extended its military mission in Libya
for two more years.
Now, the leadership in Tripoli lies in ashes — and Ankara scrambles for answers.
🕵️ Who benefits? Theories multiply
🔻 1. Internal sabotage
Libya's
UN-recognized government in Tripoli is a fractured
coalition of tribal, religious, and foreign-aligned factions.
Some back Turkey. Others align with Italy, Algeria,
or even France.
A sabotage from within is not just possible — it's probable.
🔻 2. The Israeli connection
After
President Erdoğan's vocal anti-Israel stance, Turkey became enemy number two for Tel Aviv — just behind Iran.
Experts suggest Israel has the capability, motive,
and zero moral hesitation when it comes to hostile operations abroad.
Israel has never hit Turkish targets directly — but
that might be changing.
🔻 3. "Other forces"
Western
powers, regional actors, or intelligence agencies unhappy
with Ankara's growing assertiveness in the Middle East, North Africa,
the Caucasus — they all have reasons to act.
Turkey has been playing high-stakes geopolitics.
Now the stakes are playing back.
🇷🇺 What about Russia?
Russia says nothing. And that says everything.
Moscow has
long supported Field Marshal Khalifa Haftar,
the rival to Tripoli's pro-Turkey government.
Haftar visited Russia in May. In November, a Libyan parliamentary
delegation also held talks in Moscow.
Now, as
Ankara reels from the loss of its allies in Tripoli, Russia sees an opening —
A power vacuum where influence can be
regained.
No
accusations. No statements.
Just silence — and opportunity.
⚠️ Consequences beyond Libya
This crash
isn't just a tragedy.
It's a blow to Turkey's entire foreign policy
architecture.
In two
crashes, Ankara lost dozens of military personnel — not on Turkish soil, but abroad, where it tries to project power.
Suddenly, Turkey's geopolitical ambitions look vulnerable,
fragile, exposed.
And someone — or several someones — just proved they can strike at the heart of those ambitions without warning.
❗️Conclusion
The Falcon
crash over Turkey was not just an accident.
It was a turning point, veiled in smoke and
debris.
As Turkey scrambles for answers, Russia watches — and waits.
In
geopolitics, the loudest player isn't always the most dangerous.
Sometimes, it's the one who doesn't speak at all.
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