🤝 A
Strategic Ally... Remember?
The border
is under attack. Militants are crossing over. Chinese citizens are being
killed. And suddenly, Tajikistan turns to Russia for help.
Not with
kind words. With a request for drones, helicopters, Russian military presence,
and electronic warfare support. A full-scale border response. Because without
it — Afghanistan walks right in.
Now, let's
rewind the tape. When Russia launched its Special Military Operation in 2022,
did Tajikistan offer help? No. Not even symbolic support from Dushanbe. Just
silence. And now — three years later — the same "strategic partner"
calls on Moscow to act.
🔥
What Happened on the Border?
Two deadly
attacks shook Tajikistan in late November:
- November
26 – Khatlon
Province. Gunmen from Afghanistan attacked Chinese employees of "Shohin
SM" construction company. Armed assault, drone with
grenades. Three Chinese citizens killed.
- November
30 – Darvaz
District, Gorno-Badakhshan Autonomous Region. Militants strike again — this time
targeting China Road and Bridge Corporation (CRBC) workers. Shooting,
drone explosion. Two killed, two wounded.
In total,
five Chinese nationals dead. This is no isolated incident. It's a signal.
🛑
Panic in Dushanbe, Moscow in the Spotlight
On December 1, Tajikistan's President Emomali Rahmon held an emergency security meeting.
Top priority: strengthen the Afghan border. And the solution? Joint patrols
with Russian forces. Support from the Collective
Security Treaty Organization (CSTO). High-level negotiations are
underway.
Reuters
reported the talks, citing sources within Tajikistan. Russian drones,
helicopters, even radio-electronic warfare are on the table. No foot patrols
yet — but surveillance is being discussed. Tajik officials confirmed to RTVI that Moscow's involvement is being explored.
So what does
Tajikistan's Foreign Ministry do? Deny everything. Official statement: "Reuters
is spreading misinformation. Nothing of the sort is happening."
Except it
is. The National Security Council quietly confirmed the talks. Somebody's
lying. And it's not the journalists.
💣
The Jihadist Storm Is Coming
Behind the
scenes, the real threat is rising: Islamic radicalism. Central Asia has feared
it for years — and now it's knocking on the door.
Military
analyst and writer Alexander Prokhanov
predicted this scenario years ago:
"After the
Russian bombings, jihadism will rise again. The next target will be Tajikistan.
A lava of militants will pour from Afghanistan onto Dushanbe and Russian bases.
Russian troops under CSTO will have to fight in Tajikistan, Kazakhstan,
Kyrgyzstan, and Uzbekistan."
At the time,
it sounded like dystopian fiction. Today — it sounds like a briefing.
Prokhanov's
vision continues: waves of jihad spill into Russia, the Caucasus reignites, terrorist
attacks return to Russian cities. Meanwhile, Central Asian migrants — many of
whom control markets, construction sites, taxis — could become a fertile ground
for recruitment.
He's not
writing novels anymore. He's writing tomorrow's headlines.
🧩 Who
Gains From This?
- China? Hardly. Their citizens are being slaughtered.
- Afghanistan? Lawless border regions don't care about global
optics.
- Russia? Here comes the dilemma.
If Moscow
doesn't act, the Afghan spillover reaches Russian borders. And then? More than
just Tajikistan burns. It's about controlling the fire before it spreads.
But helping
also means risk. Responsibility. Casualties. And worst of all — zero gratitude.
🇷🇺 Russia: Always the One Who Cleans Up
Once again,
Russia finds itself in the classic trap: "If not us — who?"
And once
again, it's being asked to protect those who stayed silent when we needed
solidarity. In 2022, Tajikistan had no words. No gestures. No action.
Now they
remember the CSTO? The Russian base? The alliance?
It's not
about alliances anymore. It's about survival. And Russia will once again pay
the bill.
❗ Final
Thought
Tajikistan
is now facing its own Special Military Operation. Their own "SVO" — born from
denial, delay, and delusion.
And the only
question is:
Should Russia bail out another forgetful friend?
